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Fed Funds Implied Rate Path
Market expectations from CME ZQ futures contracts
450.00%
Current Rate
Expected Average
450.00%
0.00%
Highest Expected
475.00%
Peak
Lowest Expected
425.00%
Floor
No futures data available

Market Interpretation

Markets are pricing in stable rates. The Fed Funds futures suggest traders expect the Fed to hold rates steady.

Last updated: 4/13/2026, 9:18:20 AM

Data Source: CME ZQ (Fed Funds Futures) contracts via Databento. This represents market expectations, not Fed guidance or forecasts.

Latest: US 5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate (Apr 10) · 47 charts ready
Selected:US Economy & Growth 6|Inflation & Prices 7|Federal Reserve & Interest Rates 8|Business Surveys & Sentiment 4|Housing Market 5
Macro Regime Detector
Current economic regime analysis
📈

Current Regime

Expansion

Confidence

78%

Strong GDP growth (3.2%) with moderate inflation (2.8%). Expansion phase.

GDP Growth

3.20%

Unemployment

3.9%

Inflation

2.8%

5-Year Regime History

8/259/2511/251/262/264/260255075100

Regime Stability

Current regime has been stable for 45 days. Watch for changes in inflation trends.

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Marlowe Keynes|Research

Data sourced from FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) and Financial Modeling Prep.
For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.
Last refreshed at 09:18 AM