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Fed Funds Implied Rate Path
Market expectations from CME ZQ futures contracts
450.00%
Current Rate
Expected Average
450.00%
0.00%
Highest Expected
475.00%
PeakLowest Expected
425.00%
FloorNo futures data available
Market Interpretation
Markets are pricing in stable rates. The Fed Funds futures suggest traders expect the Fed to hold rates steady.
Last updated: 4/13/2026, 9:18:20 AM
Data Source: CME ZQ (Fed Funds Futures) contracts via Databento. This represents market expectations, not Fed guidance or forecasts.
Latest: US 5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate (Apr 10) · 47 charts ready
Macro Regime Detector
Current economic regime analysis
📈
Current Regime
Expansion
Confidence
78%
Strong GDP growth (3.2%) with moderate inflation (2.8%). Expansion phase.
GDP Growth
3.20%
Unemployment
3.9%
Inflation
2.8%
5-Year Regime History
Regime Stability
Current regime has been stable for 45 days. Watch for changes in inflation trends.
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